El vicepresidente de Estados Unidos, JD Vance, estaría considerando seriamente no aspirar a la presidencia en 2028, esto luego de la fuerte derrota republicana en las elecciones legislativas realizadas el pasado 3 de noviembre, según fuentes cercanas al político citadas por la cadena de noticias CNN.
Vance había sido considerado hasta ahora el favorito para suceder a Donald Trump como candidato presidencial republicano, sin embargo, tras entrevistar a una docena de aliados y asesores del vicepresidente, la cadena aseguró de que ahora este tiene dudas por la fractura del movimiento MAGA y las exigencias de la paternidad.
Today’s the day America. Get out there and send a message to the radical left that we don’t want their bullshit. We have an amazing slate of Republican candidates nationwide, it’s your job now to make sure they get elected. Make a plan to vote, bring a friend, and let’s win this thing.
— JD Vance (@JDVance) November 3, 2026
"No me sorprendería ninguna decisión que tome", dijo una de esas personas. "Solo tiene 42 años. Es lo suficientemente joven como para recuperarse si el clima actual le impide triunfar. Puede que aún no sea su momento", agregó.
Luego de la contundente victoria demócrata en las últimas elecciones al Congreso, el vicepresidente Vance publicó un extenso mensaje en el que atribuyó la derrota republicana a la guerra contra Irán, ordenada por Trump el pasado febrero.
Cabe destacar que el otrora senador por Ohio está estrechamente vinculado al movimiento político MAGA ('Hacer Estados Unidos Grande Otra Vez'), plataforma impulsada por Trump dentro del Partido Republicano y que, entre otras posiciones, defendía no involucrar al país en conflictos extranjeros.
En este mismo tenor, las encuestas electorales mostrarían un claro rechazo a la ofensiva contra Irán y un importante aumento del costo de vida, especialmente de la gasolina, derivado del conflicto.
"Si no terminan la guerra con Irán, ningún republicano tendrá posibilidades en 2028", aseguró otra de las fuentes entrevistadas por CNN.
¿HEREDERO LEGÍTIMO?
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
— JD Vance (@JDVance) November 4, 2026
Aunque Vance nunca ha anunciado oficialmente su intención de presentarse a las presidenciales de 2028, en las que Trump ya no puede optar a la reelección, previo a los últimos comicios se mostró convencido de que, si lo hiciera, contaría con el respaldo del actual mandatario; sin embargo este ha evitado señalar a Vance como su único posible sucesor y también ha mencionado al secretario de Estado, Marco Rubio, como potencial candidato.
Al respecto, una reciente encuesta realizada por Reuters e Ipsos habría situado a Rubio y a Vance como principales opciones, posicionando, con la preferencia del 45% de los votantes republicanos encuestados a Rubio, mientras que otro 43% considera que Vance sería un excelente candidato presidencial.
Además, tras los comicios legislativos, algunos medios señalaron que Rubio se estaría planteando dejar el Departamento de Estado para distanciarse de Trump y poder buscar la candidatura en 2028, sin embargo el secretario de Estado lo desmintió.
Actualmente otros políticos republicanos, como el senador por Texas Ted Cruz o el gobernador saliente de Florida, Ron DeSantis, antiguos partidarios del presidente Trump, han acaparado la atención recientemente por sus críticas al desempeño electoral del partido, dando señales de que también podrían buscar la candidatura.
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